Arguably, no demographic has been more critical to Democrats' recent success than women.

Women were critical to the "blue wave" election of 2018, and were the most significant voting bloc behind Joe Biden's 2020 victory over President Donald Trump. Women also turned out in force during the 2022 midterms, helping Democrats maintain control of the Senate in an election many believed heavily favored Republicans.

New survey data, however, suggests that in several swing states President Biden likely needs to carry to win reelection in 2024, women—more than any other group—are more willing to support a third-party candidate. And it comes at a time experts believe the Democratic coalition needs to stay united more than ever.